TOPB1NS
English National League 28 February 2026 KO 15:00
Eastleigh badge
Eastleigh
15:00
Carlisle United
Carlisle United badge
FORM
D W D L W
#15
PTS: 39 GD: -15
PLAYED: 34
#3
PTS: 68 GD: 21
PLAYED: 34
FORM
L W W W L

Eastleigh v Carlisle United

Eastleigh will play host to Carlisle United at the Silverlake Stadium in a fixture that promises significant implications for both clubs’ league ambitions. This encounter pits a mid-table outfit against a side firmly entrenched in the promotion hunt, setting the stage for a contest with clear stakes.

In terms of recent form, Eastleigh have experienced a somewhat mixed spell. Their last five outings have delivered two victories, two draws, and a single defeat. They arrive at this match buoyed by a 2-1 home win against Truro City, extending their current winning streak to one. Notably, they managed to find the net in their most recent fixture. However, a comprehensive 4-0 away reversal at Morecambe serves as a stark reminder of potential defensive frailties.

Carlisle United, in contrast, have seen their recent form dip slightly. Their last five matches have resulted in two wins and two losses, with their most recent outing being a 3-1 away defeat to Hartlepool United, which brought an end to a promising run of three consecutive victories. Despite this setback, Carlisle have demonstrated a consistent ability to score, having netted in their last four encounters.

Historically, these two sides have met only once in the last three seasons. Their sole encounter, played earlier this season, concluded in a 1-1 draw. Carlisle United had taken the lead in the 50th minute through Junior Luamba, but Eastleigh secured a late equaliser in the 88th minute, courtesy of Kieron Evans. Neither side managed to secure victory in that solitary fixture.

The league standings present a notable disparity between the two teams. Eastleigh currently occupy 15th position, having accumulated 39 points from 34 matches. Their record stands at 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal difference of -15. Carlisle United, meanwhile, are situated considerably higher, occupying 3rd place. They boast an impressive record of 21 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses from their 34 games played, amassing 68 points and a healthy goal difference of +21.

A victory for Eastleigh would undoubtedly provide a significant boost to their morale and could see them ascend the table, potentially moving further away from the lower reaches. A draw would be a respectable outcome, yielding a point and offering an opportunity to build upon their recent home form. However, a defeat could see them slip further down the standings. For Carlisle United, securing three points is of paramount importance in their pursuit of promotion. A win would solidify their position within the top three and maintain their challenge for the leading spots. A draw would represent a missed opportunity to gain ground, while a defeat could allow rivals to pull away, potentially impacting their promotion aspirations.

Edgy Eddie

TopB1ns Edge

By Edgy Eddie

Right then, let’s have a look at Eastleigh versus Carlisle. The bookies have Carlisle as strong favourites at 4/5, and it’s hard to argue given their league position. They’re flying high, while Eastleigh are a bit more mid-table.

Now, where’s the value? The TopB1ns Edge is shouting Carlisle win, which aligns with the odds, but it’s also flagging BTTS Yes at 7/10. Both teams have shown they can score, and the history between these two is a 1-1 draw, so goals seem likely.

Looking at the Over/Under markets, the TopB1ns Edge is keen on Over 0.5, Over 1.5, and Over 2.5 goals. This suggests a game that should get going early. However, it then pivots to Under 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, and 6.5. This hints at a game that might not explode into a goal fest, but should certainly see a few. The odds for Over 2.5 are 73/100, which isn’t too shabby.

For me, the BTTS Yes bet looks like a solid shout, and keeping an eye on that Over 2.5 could pay dividends. Carlisle should have enough to get the win, but don’t discount Eastleigh nicking one.