TOPB1NS
English National League 30 December 2025 KO 19:45
Carlisle United badge
Carlisle United
19:45
Morecambe
Morecambe badge
FORM
W W L L W
#5
PTS: 49 GD: 16
PLAYED: 24
#22
PTS: 20 GD: -23
PLAYED: 24
FORM
D L L W L

Carlisle United v Morecambe

Brunton Park is set to host a keenly contested encounter as Carlisle United welcome Morecambe in the English National League. With both teams aiming to strengthen their league positions, the stakes are considerable as the demanding campaign continues.

Carlisle United arrive at this fixture on the back of a positive sequence, having secured a single victory in their most recent outing and finding the net in that match. This suggests a side that is building momentum. In contrast, Morecambe are navigating a more challenging period, currently enduring a losing streak of one game. Despite this, they have managed to score in their last two fixtures, indicating a persistent attacking threat even amidst recent setbacks.

The historical head-to-head record between these two clubs is finely balanced. Over the last three seasons, they have met on two occasions, with each side claiming a victory. Carlisle United have scored two goals across these encounters, while Morecambe have netted one. Last season, Morecambe secured a 1-0 triumph at Brunton Park, thanks to a second-half strike from Gwion Edwards. However, Carlisle United exacted revenge with a 2-0 victory at Morecambe’s ground, with goals from Georgie Kelly and Terell Thomas.

In the league standings, Carlisle United have established a strong presence, occupying fifth position. They have accumulated 49 points from their 24 matches, boasting an impressive record of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal difference of +16. Morecambe, meanwhile, find themselves in a more precarious situation, sitting in 22nd place with 20 points from their 24 games. Their record shows 5 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, resulting in a goal difference of -23.

A victory for Carlisle United would further cement their claim for a promotion push, potentially boosting their morale and reinforcing their status as genuine contenders. A draw could be viewed as a missed opportunity to gain ground, but would at least prevent a slip. For Morecambe, a win would represent a significant boost, offering a much-needed injection of confidence and a chance to climb out of the lower reaches of the table. A draw might offer a slight respite, but a loss would undoubtedly deepen their concerns regarding their league position.

Edgy Eddie

TopB1ns Edge

By Edgy Eddie

Right then, let’s get stuck into this one at Brunton Park. Carlisle United are fancied at 9/25 to get the job done against Morecambe, and the TopB1ns Edge agrees, tipping them for the win.

Now, where’s the value? The TopB1ns Edge is giving a strong shout for BTTS No at 11/10. That suggests a bit of a tighter affair than the odds might initially imply, especially with Morecambe’s recent scoring form.

Looking at the Over/Under markets, the TopB1ns Edge is really keen on Over 0.5, Over 1.5, and Over 2.5 goals, which isn’t too surprising given the odds. However, it then pivots to Under 3.5 and Under 4.5. This hints at a potential goal fest early doors, but then a tightening up. The 11/2 on Over 5.5 looks like a bit of a long shot that the model isn’t touching.

For a bit of a punt, if you fancy the TopB1ns Edge’s BTTS No call, you’re looking at 11/10. If you think it’ll be a relatively low scoring game, then the Under 2.5 at 17/10 could be worth a flutter, but remember, the TopB1ns Edge is leaning towards a few goals early on. Stick to the model’s picks if you’re after the sharpest advice.